Over the past decade, the largest purveyors of low doc, no doc, stated income, and option arms were Greenpoint, Countrywide, ALS, and Washington Mutual. In August of 2007, Greenpoint was shut down by Capital One, their parent company. Shortly after, Countrywide began experiencing financial difficulties and stopped providing all except agency (Fannie, Freddie, and FHA) loans. A few months later, Lehman shut down their mortgage subsidiary, Aurora Loan Services. Last week, Washington Mutual effectively stopped accepting new mortgage applications. They shut down their wholesale division and closed all but one of their loan centers. Washington Mutual was the leader of the option arm, which is a monthly adjustable loan with extremely low starting payments that often results in negative amortization. This effectively limits borrowers to standard VA, FHA, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac loans. Even the "jumbo" FHA and Fannie Mae loans are still priced higher than the loans under the old conforming limits.
Numbers released this week continue to show a weak economy. Housing starts fell off a cliff in March, dropping to lowest level since January 1991, and very close to a 40 year low. This is after starts reached a 25 year high in January 2006. Jobless claims increased by 17,000 to 372,000 newly unemployed workers. This brings the total number of unemployed to almost 3 million. Increases in the inflation indices's along with continuing increases in the cost of commodities points to higher inflation which adds to the confusion. Oil hit $115.00 per barrel and the euro hit $1.60 earlier this week.
The tug of war between a slowing economy and the fear of inflation has investors leaving the safety of bonds and mortgages for stocks as the Dow had one of its strongest weeks. It appears that future Fed rate cuts are almost over, which sent the yield on the 10 year treasury to over 3.8% on Friday after trading under 3.5% earlier in the week. Rates for no point low fee mortgages increased to 6.25%. Rates will probably stay above 6.00% until there is another financial disaster.
Guest Author Randy Kelly is a Mortgage Banker and Finance Author with Boulder West Financial
Services. He can be reached on-line at http://www.boulderwest.com/.